NH
NOBILITY HOMES INC (NOBH)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered lower sales and earnings versus prior year and prior quarter amid higher mortgage rates, supply chain delays, and inflation in building products; net sales were $11.83M, diluted EPS $0.63 .
- Management did not host an earnings call and provided no formal guidance; they expect operational and demand challenges to continue into fiscal 2025 .
- Full-year FY2024 results: Sales $51.93M, operating income $9.58M, net income $8.61M, diluted EPS $2.63; balance sheet remains strong with $27.2M in cash/CDs/short-term investments, working capital $43.0M, no debt .
- Consensus estimates (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 were unavailable during this session; comparisons to Wall Street estimates cannot be made at this time.*
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Maintained a strong balance sheet with $27.2M in cash, CDs, and short-term investments, working capital of $43.0M, current ratio 5.3:1, no debt; stockholders’ equity $56.6M, book value per share $17.31 .
- Q4 other income contribution increased vs Q3 (Q4: $649.9K vs Q3: $353.6K), driven by interest income and investment-related items, partially offsetting weaker operating results .
- Management reiterates long-term confidence in Florida market demand and emphasizes vertical integration and experience as strategic advantages .
Quotes:
- “Maintaining our strong financial position is vital for future growth and success… Management remains convinced that our specific geographic market is one of the best long-term growth areas in the country.”
- “We are the only vertically integrated manufactured home company headquartered in Florida.”
What Went Wrong
- Q4 net sales declined to $11.83M from $14.72M (-19.6% y/y) and from $13.80M in Q3 (-14.3% q/q); diluted EPS fell to $0.63 from $0.71 y/y and $0.67 q/q .
- Mix shifted to lower-priced homes due to higher mortgage rates; continued delays in key materials and labor shortages negatively impacted deliveries and earnings .
- Florida industry shipments declined ~3% Nov 2023–Oct 2024 per FMHA, reflecting broader demand softness; management expects challenges to continue into FY2025 .
Financial Results
Income Statement Comparison (Q4 2023 → Q3 2024 → Q4 2024)
Notes:
- Margins are calculated directly from reported figures; citations reference source financials .
FY2024 vs FY2023
Balance Sheet / Liquidity KPIs (Quarter-End)
Estimates vs Actuals (Q4 2024)
*Consensus estimates unavailable via S&P Global during this session.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management did not hold a conference call for Q4 2024 . The table below tracks recurring themes across Q2, Q3, and Q4 press releases.
Management Commentary
- Strategic positioning: “Maintaining our strong financial position is vital for future growth and success… our specific geographic market is one of the best long-term growth areas in the country.”
- Demand/mix: “We are building and selling lower-priced homes due to the higher interest rates on mortgages… negatively impacting sales as compared to prior years.”
- Operations: “Delays in the receipt of certain key production materials… back orders, price increases and labor shortages… cause delays in completion… and set-up… Our inability to timely deliver and set up homes… has negatively impacted sales and earnings.”
- Industry backdrop: FMHA shipments in Florida declined ~3% Nov 2023–Oct 2024 .
- Vertical integration: “We are the only vertically integrated manufactured home company headquartered in Florida.”
Q&A Highlights
- No conference call was held; management provided contact information for questions (Terry or Tom Trexler) .
- No live Q&A or guidance clarifications were provided given the absence of a call .
Estimates Context
- Consensus revenue and EPS estimates for Q4 2024 via S&P Global were unavailable during this session; therefore, we cannot assess beats/misses to Street expectations at this time.*
- Given the operational and macro commentary (rates, supply chain, inflation), sell-side models may need to reflect ongoing demand softness and potential price/mix impacts in FY2025 .
*Values would be retrieved from S&P Global when available.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Balance sheet strength is a core pillar: $27.2M liquidity, $43.0M working capital, no debt, and rising book value per share ($17.31) provide resilience through cyclical headwinds .
- Near-term demand remains challenged by higher mortgage rates; sales and EPS declined y/y and q/q in Q4; expect cautious near-term trajectory until rates or affordability improve .
- Operational delays (materials, labor, setup) are persistent; execution improvements and supply normalization could be incremental catalysts when they materialize .
- Pricing/mix skew to lower-priced homes pressures revenue; maintaining margins near historical levels relies on cost control and disciplined pricing .
- Florida manufactured housing industry remains soft (FMHA shipments down ~3% over Nov 2023–Oct 2024), reinforcing a conservative stance on unit volumes near term .
- No formal guidance and no call limit near-term catalysts; watch for updates on supply chain/production and potential rate relief to drive demand reacceleration .
- Medium-term thesis centers on vertical integration, strong financial position, and structurally affordable housing demand in Florida; monitor backlog, deposits, and any pricing actions to gauge trajectory .