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NH

NOBILITY HOMES INC (NOBH)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered lower sales and earnings versus prior year and prior quarter amid higher mortgage rates, supply chain delays, and inflation in building products; net sales were $11.83M, diluted EPS $0.63 .
  • Management did not host an earnings call and provided no formal guidance; they expect operational and demand challenges to continue into fiscal 2025 .
  • Full-year FY2024 results: Sales $51.93M, operating income $9.58M, net income $8.61M, diluted EPS $2.63; balance sheet remains strong with $27.2M in cash/CDs/short-term investments, working capital $43.0M, no debt .
  • Consensus estimates (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 were unavailable during this session; comparisons to Wall Street estimates cannot be made at this time.*

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Maintained a strong balance sheet with $27.2M in cash, CDs, and short-term investments, working capital of $43.0M, current ratio 5.3:1, no debt; stockholders’ equity $56.6M, book value per share $17.31 .
  • Q4 other income contribution increased vs Q3 (Q4: $649.9K vs Q3: $353.6K), driven by interest income and investment-related items, partially offsetting weaker operating results .
  • Management reiterates long-term confidence in Florida market demand and emphasizes vertical integration and experience as strategic advantages .

Quotes:

  • “Maintaining our strong financial position is vital for future growth and success… Management remains convinced that our specific geographic market is one of the best long-term growth areas in the country.”
  • “We are the only vertically integrated manufactured home company headquartered in Florida.”

What Went Wrong

  • Q4 net sales declined to $11.83M from $14.72M (-19.6% y/y) and from $13.80M in Q3 (-14.3% q/q); diluted EPS fell to $0.63 from $0.71 y/y and $0.67 q/q .
  • Mix shifted to lower-priced homes due to higher mortgage rates; continued delays in key materials and labor shortages negatively impacted deliveries and earnings .
  • Florida industry shipments declined ~3% Nov 2023–Oct 2024 per FMHA, reflecting broader demand softness; management expects challenges to continue into FY2025 .

Financial Results

Income Statement Comparison (Q4 2023 → Q3 2024 → Q4 2024)

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Sales ($USD)$14,719,253 $13,803,340 $11,834,306
Gross Profit ($USD)$4,548,588 $4,606,600 $3,914,737
Gross Margin (%)30.9% 33.4% 33.1%
Operating Income ($USD)$2,699,511 $2,573,627 $2,048,794
Operating Margin (%)18.4% 18.7% 17.3%
Other Income ($USD)$384,182 $353,586 $649,856
Net Income ($USD)$2,316,720 $2,185,312 $2,061,554
Net Income Margin (%)15.8% 15.8% 17.4%
Diluted EPS ($)$0.71 $0.67 $0.63

Notes:

  • Margins are calculated directly from reported figures; citations reference source financials .

FY2024 vs FY2023

MetricFY 2023FY 2024
Sales ($USD)$63,318,392 $51,933,622
Operating Income ($USD)$13,400,351 $9,581,451
Net Income ($USD)$10,898,864 $8,611,262
Diluted EPS ($)$3.27 $2.63

Balance Sheet / Liquidity KPIs (Quarter-End)

KPIQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Cash & Equivalents ($USD)$13,879,358 $13,052,050 $13,521,296
Certificates of Deposit ($USD)$10,204,287 $12,888,834 $13,021,839
Short-term Investments ($USD)$527,899 $618,228 $680,017
Customer Deposits ($USD)$8,703,107 $5,948,020 $5,930,728
Total Stockholders’ Equity ($USD)$52,716,298 $54,491,460 $56,596,523
Book Value per Share ($)$16.67 $17.31
Working Capital ($USD)$40,800,000 $43,000,000
Current Ratio (x)5.1:1 5.3:1
DebtNone None None

Estimates vs Actuals (Q4 2024)

MetricConsensus EstimateActual
Revenue ($USD)N/A*$11,834,306
Diluted EPS ($)N/A*$0.63

*Consensus estimates unavailable via S&P Global during this session.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Formal Financial Guidance (Revenue/EPS/Margins)FY2025NoneNoneMaintained
Qualitative OutlookFY2025N/AExpect interest-rate-driven demand softness, material/labor delays, and inflationary pressures to continue into FY2025Maintained cautious tone
DividendsN/ANot mentionedNot mentionedNo update

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Management did not hold a conference call for Q4 2024 . The table below tracks recurring themes across Q2, Q3, and Q4 press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Interest Rate Impact on Demand/MixHigher mortgage rates pushing smaller-priced homes; customers deferring purchases Higher rates negatively impacting sales; customers deferring purchases Higher rates negatively impacting sales; building lower-priced homes Worsening/Unchanged
Supply Chain & Labor ConstraintsDelays in key materials; back orders; labor shortages; delays in completion and setup Continued delays and shortages impacting deliveries and earnings Persistent delays; expect challenges to continue into FY2025 Unchanged
Inflation in Building ProductsInflation increasing material and labor costs Continuing inflation in several building products Continuing inflation may raise wholesale/retail prices Unchanged
Florida Industry ShipmentsFMHA: shipments down ~9% (Nov 2023–Apr 2024) FMHA: shipments down ~3% (Nov 2023–Jul 2024) FMHA: shipments down ~3% (Nov 2023–Oct 2024) Stabilizing at lower level
Financial Position/Balance SheetStrong liquidity; no debt; equity $52.3M; BVPS $15.99 Strong liquidity; equity $54.5M; BVPS $16.67 Strong liquidity; equity $56.6M; BVPS $17.31 Improving
Vertical IntegrationOnly vertically integrated manufactured home company in FL Same emphasis Reiterated vertical integration Unchanged

Management Commentary

  • Strategic positioning: “Maintaining our strong financial position is vital for future growth and success… our specific geographic market is one of the best long-term growth areas in the country.”
  • Demand/mix: “We are building and selling lower-priced homes due to the higher interest rates on mortgages… negatively impacting sales as compared to prior years.”
  • Operations: “Delays in the receipt of certain key production materials… back orders, price increases and labor shortages… cause delays in completion… and set-up… Our inability to timely deliver and set up homes… has negatively impacted sales and earnings.”
  • Industry backdrop: FMHA shipments in Florida declined ~3% Nov 2023–Oct 2024 .
  • Vertical integration: “We are the only vertically integrated manufactured home company headquartered in Florida.”

Q&A Highlights

  • No conference call was held; management provided contact information for questions (Terry or Tom Trexler) .
  • No live Q&A or guidance clarifications were provided given the absence of a call .

Estimates Context

  • Consensus revenue and EPS estimates for Q4 2024 via S&P Global were unavailable during this session; therefore, we cannot assess beats/misses to Street expectations at this time.*
  • Given the operational and macro commentary (rates, supply chain, inflation), sell-side models may need to reflect ongoing demand softness and potential price/mix impacts in FY2025 .

*Values would be retrieved from S&P Global when available.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Balance sheet strength is a core pillar: $27.2M liquidity, $43.0M working capital, no debt, and rising book value per share ($17.31) provide resilience through cyclical headwinds .
  • Near-term demand remains challenged by higher mortgage rates; sales and EPS declined y/y and q/q in Q4; expect cautious near-term trajectory until rates or affordability improve .
  • Operational delays (materials, labor, setup) are persistent; execution improvements and supply normalization could be incremental catalysts when they materialize .
  • Pricing/mix skew to lower-priced homes pressures revenue; maintaining margins near historical levels relies on cost control and disciplined pricing .
  • Florida manufactured housing industry remains soft (FMHA shipments down ~3% over Nov 2023–Oct 2024), reinforcing a conservative stance on unit volumes near term .
  • No formal guidance and no call limit near-term catalysts; watch for updates on supply chain/production and potential rate relief to drive demand reacceleration .
  • Medium-term thesis centers on vertical integration, strong financial position, and structurally affordable housing demand in Florida; monitor backlog, deposits, and any pricing actions to gauge trajectory .